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Esiliiga A · Estonia
Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nõmme Kalju II host FC Tallinn in the Esiliiga A (Estonia) on 24 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — FC Tallinn to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Nõmme Kalju II had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 22. FC Tallinn had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 32 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Nõmme Kalju II's last 10 and 5 of FC Tallinn's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nõmme Kalju II averaged 1.19 goals scored and 2.75 conceded across 16 matches; away from home FC Tallinn averaged 1.00 scored and 2.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Nõmme Kalju II and 1.53 from FC Tallinn. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 41%, against 39%, 21% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nõmme Kalju II (green) and FC Tallinn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme Kalju II | DLLLL | 0.70 | 2.20 | 30% | 50% |
| FC Tallinn | LLWLW | 1.20 | 3.20 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Aug 2026 · FC Tallinn 0–2 Nõmme Kalju II
- 1 Jun 2026 · Nõmme Kalju II 1–3 FC Tallinn