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HNL · Croatia
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb host NK Varazdin in the HNL (Croatia) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–1 NK Varazdin.
Going into the match, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 16. NK Varazdin had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's last 10 and 4 of NK Varazdin's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home NK Lokomotiva Zagreb averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home NK Varazdin averaged 1.83 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.97 goals from NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.02 from NK Varazdin. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 35%, against 30%, 27% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (green) and NK Varazdin (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | LDWLL | 1.70 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
| NK Varazdin | DDWDW | 1.70 | 0.90 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jun 2026 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–1 NK Varazdin
- 9 May 2026 · NK Varazdin 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.