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3. liga - West · Slovakia
Nitra vs Rača prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nitra host Rača in the 3. liga - West (Slovakia) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Nitra had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 29 and conceding 8. Rača had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Nitra's last 10 and 7 of Rača's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nitra averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Rača averaged 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.96 goals from Nitra and 0.72 from Rača. From that it rates a home win at 82%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 6%, against 75%, 14% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nitra Win | 75% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Nitra 1st Half Win | 58% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| 3-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.