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Super League 2 · Greece
Niki Volos vs Larisa prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 11:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Niki Volos host Larisa in the Super League 2 (Greece) on 3 Oct 2026, 11:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Niki Volos to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Niki Volos 2–2 Larisa.
Going into the match, Niki Volos had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 7 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Larisa had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Niki Volos's last 7 and 5 of Larisa's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Niki Volos averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Larisa averaged 2.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.97 goals from Niki Volos and 0.92 from Larisa. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 31%, against 42%, 30% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Niki Volos (green) and Larisa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niki Volos | WLLLL | 0.57 | 1.29 | 29% | 43% |
| Larisa | WWDWD | 1.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.54 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.66 |
| Niki Volos Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.00 |
| 1-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.