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NPFL · Nigeria
Niger Tornadoes vs Kun Khalifat FC prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Niger Tornadoes host Kun Khalifat FC in the NPFL (Nigeria) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Niger Tornadoes 1–0 Kun Khalifat FC.
Going into the match, Niger Tornadoes had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Kun Khalifat FC had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Niger Tornadoes's last 10 and 5 of Kun Khalifat FC's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Niger Tornadoes averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Kun Khalifat FC averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Niger Tornadoes and 0.63 from Kun Khalifat FC. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 16%, against 78%, 15% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 32%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Niger Tornadoes (green) and Kun Khalifat FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niger Tornadoes | LDLDL | 0.80 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
| Kun Khalifat FC | WLLLD | 1.30 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Niger Tornadoes HT & FT | 60% | 1.57 |
| Niger Tornadoes 1st Half Win | 60% | 1.51 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.58 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 3-0 | 12% | 8.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.