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NPFL · Nigeria
Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Niger Tornadoes host Ikorodu City in the NPFL (Nigeria) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Niger Tornadoes Win — Niger Tornadoes to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Niger Tornadoes 2–1 Ikorodu City.
Going into the match, Niger Tornadoes had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Ikorodu City had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Niger Tornadoes's last 10 and 4 of Ikorodu City's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Niger Tornadoes averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Ikorodu City averaged 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Niger Tornadoes and 0.68 from Ikorodu City. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 22%, against 56%, 28% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Niger Tornadoes (green) and Ikorodu City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niger Tornadoes | DWLDL | 0.70 | 0.70 | 30% | 20% |
| Ikorodu City | WLDWL | 1.10 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.52 |
| Niger Tornadoes Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
| Niger Tornadoes HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other NPFL matches that day
- Enyimba vs Warri Wolves · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · NPFL
Published pick: Enyimba Win @ 1.42 - Inter Lagos vs Nasarawa United · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · NPFL
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–2 - Kano Pillars vs Katsina United · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · NPFL
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–0 - Plateau United vs Sporting Lagos · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · NPFL
Published pick: Plateau United Win @ 1.50 · FT 2–3 - Rivers United vs Barau FC · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · NPFL
Published pick: Rivers United Win @ 1.38