Niendorfer TSV vs Buchholz prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Niendorfer TSV WinOdds 2.14Market probability 42%Final score 9–5

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Niendorfer TSV host Buchholz in the Oberliga - Hamburg (Germany) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Niendorfer TSV Win — Niendorfer TSV to win. It was published at odds of 2.14, which the bookmaker market rated at about 42% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Niendorfer TSV 9–5 Buchholz.

Going into the match, Niendorfer TSV had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 25. Buchholz had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 31 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Niendorfer TSV's last 10 and 8 of Buchholz's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Niendorfer TSV averaged 2.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Buchholz averaged 2.38 scored and 3.13 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 3.56 goals from Niendorfer TSV and 2.48 from Buchholz. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 25%, against 42%, 21% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Niendorfer TSV (green) and Buchholz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form64% – 36%

Attack59% – 41%

Defence62% – 38%

Head-to-head85% – 15%

Goals67% – 33%

Overall strength63% – 36%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Niendorfer TSV	WLDLW	2.00	2.50	60%	80%
Buchholz	LLLWD	2.20	3.10	80%	80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

30 Apr 2026 · Buchholz 1–1 Niendorfer TSV

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	62%	1.43
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals	61%	1.51
BTTS 1st Half - No	59%	1.55
Niendorfer TSV Win	42%	2.14
1-0	9%	10.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.