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Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nicaragua host Dominican Republic in the CONCACAF Nations League (International) on 5 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nicaragua 1–2 Dominican Republic.
Going into the match, Nicaragua had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 16. Dominican Republic had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4, with 8 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Nicaragua's last 5 and 4 of Dominican Republic's last 4; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nicaragua averaged 0.00 goals scored and 3.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Dominican Republic averaged 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 20% for Nicaragua, 22% for the draw and 58% for Dominican Republic once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nicaragua (green) and Dominican Republic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicaragua | LLLLD | 0.60 | 3.20 | 40% | 80% |
| Dominican Republic | LWWL | 2.00 | 2.75 | 100% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Sep 2026 · Dominican Republic 3–2 Nicaragua
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| Dominican Republic Win | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.