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Nicaragua vs Costa Rica prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nicaragua host Costa Rica in the CONCACAF Nations League (International) on 2 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nicaragua 0–3 Costa Rica.
Going into the match, Nicaragua had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 13. Costa Rica had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4, with 4 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Nicaragua's last 4 and 2 of Costa Rica's last 4; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nicaragua averaged 0.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 0 matches; away from home Costa Rica averaged 0.33 scored and 2.67 conceded across 3.
The 1X2 prices imply about 20% for Nicaragua, 22% for the draw and 58% for Costa Rica once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nicaragua (green) and Costa Rica (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicaragua | LLLD | 0.75 | 3.25 | 50% | 75% |
| Costa Rica | LLLL | 1.00 | 3.00 | 50% | 75% |
Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Costa Rica Win | 58% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.