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FAW Championship · Wales
Newtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Newtown AFC host Bangor City 1876 FC in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Newtown AFC 0–0 Bangor City 1876 FC.
Going into the match, Newtown AFC had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 5. Bangor City 1876 FC had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Newtown AFC's last 10 and 8 of Bangor City 1876 FC's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Newtown AFC averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Bangor City 1876 FC averaged 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Newtown AFC and 0.57 from Bangor City 1876 FC. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 12%, against 60%, 21% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 38%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Newtown AFC (green) and Bangor City 1876 FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newtown AFC | WLWWW | 2.10 | 0.50 | 30% | 50% |
| Bangor City 1876 FC | LLWDL | 2.30 | 1.80 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Newtown AFC Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.54 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.64 |
| Newtown AFC HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.