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Championship · Northern Ireland
Newry City AFC vs Dundela prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Newry City AFC host Dundela in the Championship (Northern Ireland) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Newry City AFC 3–1 Dundela.
Going into the match, Newry City AFC had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 18. Dundela had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Newry City AFC's last 10 and 7 of Dundela's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Newry City AFC averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Dundela averaged 1.50 scored and 2.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.05 goals from Newry City AFC and 1.36 from Dundela. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 24%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Newry City AFC (green) and Dundela (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newry City AFC | LWDDD | 1.60 | 1.80 | 80% | 80% |
| Dundela | LWDDW | 1.80 | 2.00 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Newry City AFC Win | 55% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.