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League Two · England
Newport County vs Colchester prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Newport County host Colchester in the League Two (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Newport County 1–0 Colchester.
Going into the match, Newport County had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Colchester had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Newport County's last 10 and 8 of Colchester's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Newport County averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Colchester averaged 1.73 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Newport County and 0.85 from Colchester. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 20%, against 35%, 27% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Newport County (green) and Colchester (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | DDWWD | 1.30 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Colchester | DDLDD | 1.20 | 1.60 | 80% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.