Home › League stats › Liga Profesional Argentina › Newells Old Boys vs Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Newells Old Boys vs Lanus prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Newells Old Boys host Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 3 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Newells Old Boys 0–0 Lanus.
Going into the match, Newells Old Boys had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Lanus had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Newells Old Boys's last 10 and 4 of Lanus's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Newells Old Boys averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Lanus averaged 0.73 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Newells Old Boys and 0.74 from Lanus. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 26%, against 34%, 33% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Newells Old Boys (green) and Lanus (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newells Old Boys | WDDDW | 1.10 | 0.80 | 50% | 30% |
| Lanus | WWWLD | 1.20 | 1.30 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.