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Premier League · England
Newcastle vs Everton prediction and preview
2 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Newcastle host Everton in the Premier League (England) on 2 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Everton +1.5 Asian Handicap — Everton +1.5 Asian Handicap. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 79% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Newcastle had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Everton had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Newcastle's last 10 and 4 of Everton's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Newcastle averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Everton averaged 1.43 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.08 goals from Newcastle and 1.34 from Everton. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 41%, against 40%, 27% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Newcastle (green) and Everton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Oct 2026 · Everton 3–1 Newcastle
- 12 Aug 2026 · Newcastle 1–3 Everton
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.