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WSL Cup · England
Newcastle United W vs Sunderland W prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Newcastle United W host Sunderland W in the WSL Cup (England) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Newcastle United W Win — Newcastle United W to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Newcastle United W had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 8 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Sunderland W had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 8, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Newcastle United W's last 8 and 7 of Sunderland W's last 8; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Newcastle United W averaged 2.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Sunderland W averaged 1.75 scored and 2.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.30 goals from Newcastle United W and 1.11 from Sunderland W. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 16%, against 57%, 22% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Newcastle United W (green) and Sunderland W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United W | WLWWW | 2.00 | 0.88 | 38% | 63% |
| Sunderland W | WWLDW | 1.88 | 1.50 | 88% | 88% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.54 |
| Newcastle United W Win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.08 |
| Newcastle United W HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.