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Major League Soccer · USA
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
New York Red Bulls host San Diego in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 10 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: New York Red Bulls 4–1 San Diego.
Going into the match, New York Red Bulls had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 14. San Diego had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of New York Red Bulls's last 10 and 6 of San Diego's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home New York Red Bulls averaged 1.42 goals scored and 2.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home San Diego averaged 1.09 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from New York Red Bulls and 1.50 from San Diego. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 36%, against 37%, 25% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between New York Red Bulls (green) and San Diego (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls | LWWLD | 0.80 | 1.40 | 40% | 40% |
| San Diego | DDLLL | 1.80 | 2.00 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 48% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.