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Cup · Bulgaria
Nesebar vs CSKA Sofia prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nesebar host CSKA Sofia in the Cup (Bulgaria) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Nesebar 0–2 CSKA Sofia.
Going into the match, Nesebar had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 10. CSKA Sofia had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Nesebar's last 10 and 7 of CSKA Sofia's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nesebar averaged 4.00 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home CSKA Sofia averaged 1.53 scored and 0.95 conceded across 19.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Nesebar and 2.89 from CSKA Sofia. From that it rates a home win at 8%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 78%. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nesebar (green) and CSKA Sofia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nesebar | DDLWD | 1.70 | 1.00 | 50% | 30% |
| CSKA Sofia | LWDWW | 1.90 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other Cup matches that day
- Spartak Pleven vs Levski Sofia · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Botev Plovdiv · 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals · FT 0–4