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Second League · Bulgaria
Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Gradski stadion, Nesebar
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nesebar host Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in the Second League (Bulgaria) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Nesebar Under 1.5 Goals — Nesebar Under 1.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Nesebar had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Nesebar's last 10 and 3 of Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nesebar averaged 3.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Chernomorets 1919 Burgas averaged 1.75 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Nesebar and 1.10 from Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 25%, against 28%, 28% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nesebar (green) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nesebar | LLDDL | 1.00 | 1.40 | 60% | 30% |
| Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | DLWWW | 2.10 | 0.90 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 64% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 46% | 2.04 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.