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1 Lyga · Lithuania
Neptūną Klaipėda vs Hegelmann II prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Neptūną Klaipėda host Hegelmann II in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Neptūną Klaipėda 0–1 Hegelmann II.
Going into the match, Neptūną Klaipėda had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Hegelmann II had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Neptūną Klaipėda's last 10 and 6 of Hegelmann II's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Neptūną Klaipėda averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Hegelmann II averaged 1.10 scored and 2.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from Neptūną Klaipėda and 1.08 from Hegelmann II. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 18%, against 67%, 18% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Neptūną Klaipėda (green) and Hegelmann II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neptūną Klaipėda | LWLWL | 1.30 | 1.30 | 40% | 50% |
| Hegelmann II | LLWLW | 1.40 | 2.40 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 May 2026 · Hegelmann II 2–3 Neptūną Klaipėda
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.21 |
| Neptūną Klaipėda Win | 69% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.71 |
| Neptūną Klaipėda HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.