NEOM vs Abha prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 65%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

NEOM host Abha in the Pro League (Saudi Arabia) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, NEOM had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 8. Abha had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of NEOM's last 10 and 5 of Abha's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home NEOM averaged 2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Abha averaged 0.83 scored and 1.83 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from NEOM and 0.52 from Abha. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 10%, against 60%, 23% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between NEOM (green) and Abha (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form88% – 13%

Attack64% – 36%

Defence62% – 38%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals67% – 33%

Overall strength73% – 26%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
NEOM	LLWDW	1.60	0.80	20%	30%
Abha	LDLLL	0.60	1.50	50%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	78%	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Under 3.5 Goals	65%	1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
NEOM Win	60%	1.50
Over 2.5 Goals	56%	1.70
Over 8.5 Corners	54%	1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.