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Super League · Uzbekistan

Neftchi vs Xorazm prediction and preview

7 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Neftchi WinOdds 1.22Market probability 73%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Neftchi host Xorazm in the Super League (Uzbekistan) on 7 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Neftchi Win — Neftchi to win. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Neftchi 2–2 Xorazm.

Going into the match, Neftchi had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 11. Xorazm had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Neftchi's last 10 and 5 of Xorazm's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Neftchi averaged 2.10 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Xorazm averaged 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.52 goals from Neftchi and 0.83 from Xorazm. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 10%, against 73%, 17% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Neftchi (green) and Xorazm (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form90% – 10%
Attack82% – 18%
Defence42% – 58%
Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals67% – 33%
Overall strength75% – 24%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
NeftchiWWWLW1.901.1030%60%
XorazmLLDLL0.901.7050%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Neftchi Win73%1.22
Over 2.5 Goals61%1.53
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals58%1.61
Neftchi 1st Half Win55%1.62
Over 9.5 Corners54%1.73
Neftchi HT & FT53%1.73
BTTS No52%1.75
Under 2.5 Goals39%2.38

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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