Home › League stats › Super League › Neftchi vs Xorazm
Super League · Uzbekistan
Neftchi vs Xorazm prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Neftchi host Xorazm in the Super League (Uzbekistan) on 7 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Neftchi Win — Neftchi to win. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Neftchi 2–2 Xorazm.
Going into the match, Neftchi had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 11. Xorazm had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Neftchi's last 10 and 5 of Xorazm's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Neftchi averaged 2.10 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Xorazm averaged 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.52 goals from Neftchi and 0.83 from Xorazm. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 10%, against 73%, 17% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Neftchi (green) and Xorazm (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Apr 2026 · Xorazm 0–2 Neftchi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Win | 73% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.61 |
| Neftchi 1st Half Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Neftchi HT & FT | 53% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.