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Cup · Uzbekistan
Neftchi vs Lokomotiv prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Neftchi host Lokomotiv in the Cup (Uzbekistan) on 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Neftchi Win — Neftchi to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Neftchi 2–4 Lokomotiv.
Going into the match, Neftchi had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 18. Lokomotiv had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Neftchi's last 10 and 6 of Lokomotiv's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Neftchi averaged 2.09 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Lokomotiv averaged 1.70 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.95 goals from Neftchi and 1.65 from Lokomotiv. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 32%, against 58%, 24% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Neftchi (green) and Lokomotiv (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 Sep 2026 · Lokomotiv 0–1 Neftchi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Neftchi Win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Neftchi HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Cup matches that day
- Sogdiana vs Andijan · 20 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.36 · FT 1–2 - Olmaliq vs PFK Guliston · 20 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 2–0