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Premyer Liqa · Azerbaijan
Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Neftchi Baku host Sabah FA in the Premyer Liqa (Azerbaijan) on 9 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Neftchi Baku 0–0 Sabah FA.
Going into the match, Neftchi Baku had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 10. Sabah FA had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Neftchi Baku's last 10 and 4 of Sabah FA's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Neftchi Baku averaged 2.22 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Sabah FA averaged 1.46 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Neftchi Baku and 1.52 from Sabah FA. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 44%, against 33%, 28% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Neftchi Baku (green) and Sabah FA (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | WWWLW | 2.40 | 1.00 | 40% | 70% |
| Sabah FA | WWLWW | 2.30 | 1.10 | 40% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Sabah FA 1–2 Neftchi Baku
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.