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Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Necaxa W host Cruz Azul W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 4 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Necaxa W 0–2 Cruz Azul W.
Going into the match, Necaxa W had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 10 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 39. Cruz Azul W had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Necaxa W's last 10 and 3 of Cruz Azul W's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Necaxa W averaged 0.25 goals scored and 3.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Cruz Azul W averaged 0.40 scored and 3.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.60 goals from Necaxa W and 2.25 from Cruz Azul W. From that it rates a home win at 8%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 74%, against 5%, 9% and 87% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Necaxa W (green) and Cruz Azul W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa W | LLLLL | 0.50 | 3.90 | 40% | 70% |
| Cruz Azul W | LLWWL | 1.10 | 2.50 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul W HT & FT | 70% | 1.36 |
| Cruz Azul W 1st Half Win | 68% | 1.33 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 58% | 2.00 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 0-3 | 13% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.