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Liga MX U21 · Mexico
Necaxa U21 vs Juarez U21 prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Necaxa U21 host Juarez U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Necaxa U21 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Necaxa U21 2–3 Juarez U21.
Going into the match, Necaxa U21 had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Juarez U21 had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Necaxa U21's last 10 and 5 of Juarez U21's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Necaxa U21 averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Juarez U21 averaged 0.70 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.91 goals from Necaxa U21 and 0.96 from Juarez U21. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 34%, against 39%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Necaxa U21 (green) and Juarez U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa U21 | LWWLL | 1.00 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
| Juarez U21 | LWWLL | 0.70 | 1.00 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.30 |
| Necaxa U21 Win | 38% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.