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Liga MX U21 · Mexico
Necaxa U21 vs Atlas U21 prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Necaxa U21 host Atlas U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Necaxa U21 1–2 Atlas U21.
Going into the match, Necaxa U21 had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Atlas U21 had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Necaxa U21's last 10 and 3 of Atlas U21's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Necaxa U21 averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Atlas U21 averaged 0.75 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Necaxa U21 and 1.14 from Atlas U21. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 33%, against 40%, 27% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Necaxa U21 (green) and Atlas U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa U21 | WWLLD | 0.90 | 1.30 | 30% | 40% |
| Atlas U21 | LDLLW | 1.30 | 1.10 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
| Necaxa U21 Win | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.