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Challenge League · Malta
Naxxar Lions vs Victoria Hotspurs prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Naxxar Lions host Victoria Hotspurs in the Challenge League (Malta) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.47, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Naxxar Lions 1–0 Victoria Hotspurs.
Going into the match, Naxxar Lions had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Victoria Hotspurs had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3, with 5 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Naxxar Lions's last 9 and 1 of Victoria Hotspurs's last 3; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Naxxar Lions averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Victoria Hotspurs averaged 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 41% for Naxxar Lions, 25% for the draw and 33% for Victoria Hotspurs once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Naxxar Lions (green) and Victoria Hotspurs (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naxxar Lions | WWLLL | 1.22 | 1.67 | 56% | 56% |
| Victoria Hotspurs | LWW | 1.67 | 1.33 | 33% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.55 |
| Naxxar Lions Win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Challenge League matches that day
- Swieqi United vs Sirens · 18 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Challenge League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.56 - Tarxien Rainbows vs Zebbug Rangers · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Challenge League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 2–1 - Vittoriosa Stars vs Attard · 18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Challenge League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 · FT 2–2