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Cup · Uzbekistan
Navbahor vs Gazalkent prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Navbahor host Gazalkent in the Cup (Uzbekistan) on 21 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Navbahor 3–1 Gazalkent.
Going into the match, Navbahor had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 10. Gazalkent had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Navbahor's last 10 and 7 of Gazalkent's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Navbahor averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Gazalkent averaged 2.82 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from Navbahor and 1.27 from Gazalkent. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 22%, against 68%, 19% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Navbahor (green) and Gazalkent (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Navbahor Win | 69% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.77 |
| Navbahor HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
| 3-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.