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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Navalcarnero host Atlético Paso in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals — fewer than 1.5 goals in the first half. It was published at odds of 1.37, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Navalcarnero had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 14. Atlético Paso had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Navalcarnero's last 10 and 5 of Atlético Paso's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Navalcarnero averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Atlético Paso averaged 1.17 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from Navalcarnero and 1.05 from Atlético Paso. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 20%, against 52%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navalcarnero | WDDDW | 2.20 | 1.40 | 90% | 80% |
| Atlético Paso | WWDLW | 1.30 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Navalcarnero Win | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 46% | 2.03 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Navalcarnero form and statistics
- Atlético Paso form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 matches that day
- Real Valladolid II vs Getafe II · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73