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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain

Navalcarnero vs A Madrid III prediction and preview

11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2No priceFinal score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Navalcarnero host A Madrid III in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — A Madrid III to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Navalcarnero 1–1 A Madrid III.

Going into the match, Navalcarnero had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 10. A Madrid III had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Navalcarnero's last 10 and 5 of A Madrid III's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Navalcarnero averaged 2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home A Madrid III averaged 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Navalcarnero and 0.87 from A Madrid III. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 18%. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Navalcarnero (green) and A Madrid III (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form37% – 63%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence38% – 62%
Overall strength43% – 56%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
NavalcarneroWWLWD1.801.0060%70%
A Madrid IIIWWWLW2.201.1050%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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