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Serie B · Brazil
Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nautico Recife host Novorizontino in the Serie B (Brazil) on 8 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nautico Recife 0–2 Novorizontino.
Going into the match, Nautico Recife had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Novorizontino had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Nautico Recife's last 10 and 6 of Novorizontino's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nautico Recife averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Novorizontino averaged 1.82 scored and 1.00 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Nautico Recife and 1.55 from Novorizontino. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 45%, against 29%, 28% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nautico Recife (green) and Novorizontino (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife | DWLDL | 1.40 | 1.30 | 70% | 50% |
| Novorizontino | WDLDW | 2.00 | 0.70 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Jun 2026 · Novorizontino 2–2 Nautico Recife
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance X2 | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.