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Serie B · Brazil
Nautico Recife vs Avai prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · Estadio dos Aflitos, Recife
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nautico Recife host Avai in the Serie B (Brazil) on 31 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Nautico Recife had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Avai had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Nautico Recife's last 10 and 4 of Avai's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nautico Recife averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Avai averaged 0.94 scored and 1.72 conceded across 18.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Nautico Recife and 1.01 from Avai. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 25%, against 47%, 28% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife | LDLLD | 0.90 | 1.80 | 40% | 50% |
| Avai | LDWWL | 0.60 | 1.40 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Jul 2026 · Avai 2–0 Nautico Recife
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.