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Super League · Uzbekistan
Nasaf vs Dinamo Samarqand prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nasaf host Dinamo Samarqand in the Super League (Uzbekistan) on 9 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Nasaf Win — Nasaf to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nasaf 2–1 Dinamo Samarqand.
Going into the match, Nasaf had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 9. Dinamo Samarqand had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Nasaf's last 10 and 7 of Dinamo Samarqand's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nasaf averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Dinamo Samarqand averaged 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Nasaf and 0.87 from Dinamo Samarqand. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 18%, against 63%, 22% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nasaf (green) and Dinamo Samarqand (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasaf | WDWWL | 1.60 | 0.90 | 40% | 50% |
| Dinamo Samarqand | LWDDW | 1.40 | 1.20 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Nasaf Win | 58% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.76 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
| Nasaf HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.