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Serie D - Girone H · Italy
Nardò vs Gravina prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nardò host Gravina in the Serie D - Girone H (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Gravina to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Nardò 1–1 Gravina.
Going into the match, Nardò had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Gravina had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Nardò's last 10 and 5 of Gravina's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nardò averaged 0.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Gravina averaged 2.33 scored and 0.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Nardò and 1.64 from Gravina. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 51%. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nardò (green) and Gravina (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.