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J3 League · Japan
Nara Club vs Kitakyushu prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nara Club host Kitakyushu in the J3 League (Japan) on 10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.52, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nara Club 2–0 Kitakyushu.
Going into the match, Nara Club had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 18. Kitakyushu had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Nara Club's last 10 and 7 of Kitakyushu's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nara Club averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Kitakyushu averaged 1.25 scored and 1.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.45 goals from Nara Club and 1.25 from Kitakyushu. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 17%, against 49%, 25% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nara Club (green) and Kitakyushu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nara Club | WWWWD | 2.00 | 1.80 | 90% | 90% |
| Kitakyushu | WLDWL | 1.40 | 1.90 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Nara Club Win | 48% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Nara Club HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.