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USL League One · USA
Naples vs NY Cosmos prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Naples host NY Cosmos in the USL League One (USA) on 3 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Naples 2–1 NY Cosmos.
Going into the match, Naples had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 16. NY Cosmos had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Naples's last 10 and 7 of NY Cosmos's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Naples averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home NY Cosmos averaged 1.36 scored and 2.21 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.83 goals from Naples and 1.16 from NY Cosmos. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 23%, against 45%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Naples (green) and NY Cosmos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Jul 2026 · NY Cosmos 1–0 Naples
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.