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League One · China

Nantong Zhiyun vs Ningbo Professional prediction and preview

6 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 72%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Nantong Zhiyun host Ningbo Professional in the League One (China) on 6 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Nantong Zhiyun 1–0 Ningbo Professional.

Going into the match, Nantong Zhiyun had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Ningbo Professional had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Nantong Zhiyun's last 10 and 4 of Ningbo Professional's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nantong Zhiyun averaged 1.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Ningbo Professional averaged 1.18 scored and 0.73 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Nantong Zhiyun and 0.60 from Ningbo Professional. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 16%, against 62%, 24% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 88%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Nantong Zhiyun (green) and Ningbo Professional (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form64% – 36%
Attack80% – 20%
Defence45% – 55%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength60% – 39%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Nantong ZhiyunWLWDL1.901.0070%40%
Ningbo ProfessionalLLWLD0.801.4040%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 1.5 Goals72%1.30
Under 3.5 Goals72%1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals66%1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals66%1.40
Nantong Zhiyun Win62%1.44
BTTS No58%1.62
Under 9.5 Corners54%1.73
Under 2.5 Goals53%1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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