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League One · China
Nanjing City vs Shaanxi Union prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nanjing City host Shaanxi Union in the League One (China) on 7 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nanjing City 1–4 Shaanxi Union.
Going into the match, Nanjing City had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 18. Shaanxi Union had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Nanjing City's last 10 and 7 of Shaanxi Union's last 10; 4 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nanjing City averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Shaanxi Union averaged 1.31 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.83 goals from Nanjing City and 1.99 from Shaanxi Union. From that it rates a home win at 14%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 63%, against 27%, 27% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nanjing City (green) and Shaanxi Union (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanjing City | LLLLL | 0.60 | 1.80 | 60% | 40% |
| Shaanxi Union | WDLWW | 1.90 | 1.40 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 May 2026 · Shaanxi Union 0–1 Nanjing City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.