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Ligue 2 · France
Nancy vs Guingamp prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nancy host Guingamp in the Ligue 2 (France) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nancy 1–0 Guingamp.
Going into the match, Nancy had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Guingamp had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Nancy's last 10 and 7 of Guingamp's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nancy averaged 2.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Guingamp averaged 1.25 scored and 2.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Nancy and 0.83 from Guingamp. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 16%, against 45%, 28% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nancy (green) and Guingamp (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.