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K4 League · South Korea
Namyangju vs Gijang United prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Namyangju host Gijang United in the K4 League (South Korea) on 3 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Namyangju 2–1 Gijang United.
Going into the match, Namyangju had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Gijang United had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Namyangju's last 10 and 7 of Gijang United's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Namyangju averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Gijang United averaged 1.18 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from Namyangju and 1.38 from Gijang United. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 24%, against 54%, 23% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Namyangju (green) and Gijang United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Namyangju | DWWWW | 2.00 | 1.50 | 90% | 90% |
| Gijang United | WWLWL | 1.60 | 2.00 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Gijang United 2–1 Namyangju
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Namyangju Win | 54% | 1.65 |
| Namyangju HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.