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V.League 1 · Vietnam
Nam Dinh vs Phu Dong prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nam Dinh host Phu Dong in the V.League 1 (Vietnam) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nam Dinh 1–1 Phu Dong.
Going into the match, Nam Dinh had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 19. Phu Dong had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Nam Dinh's last 10 and 8 of Phu Dong's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nam Dinh averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Phu Dong averaged 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Nam Dinh and 1.89 from Phu Dong. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 47%, against 30%, 26% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nam Dinh (green) and Phu Dong (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.