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FKF Premier League · Kenya
Nairobi United vs KCB prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nairobi United host KCB in the FKF Premier League (Kenya) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nairobi United 2–2 KCB.
Going into the match, Nairobi United had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. KCB had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Nairobi United's last 10 and 5 of KCB's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nairobi United averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home KCB averaged 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded across 5.
The 1X2 prices imply about 49% for Nairobi United, 30% for the draw and 21% for KCB once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nairobi United (green) and KCB (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairobi United | WDDLW | 1.40 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
| KCB | LWWLD | 1.00 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Nairobi United 0–1 KCB
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.62 |
| Nairobi United Win | 47% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Nairobi United HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
| 1-0 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.