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Premier League · Belarus

Naftan vs Belshina prediction and preview

10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.65Market probability 57%Final score 4–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Naftan host Belshina in the Premier League (Belarus) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Naftan 4–1 Belshina.

Going into the match, Naftan had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 25. Belshina had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Naftan's last 10 and 5 of Belshina's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Naftan averaged 0.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Belshina averaged 1.17 scored and 2.08 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Naftan and 1.91 from Belshina. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 41%, against 36%, 27% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Naftan (green) and Belshina (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%
Attack40% – 60%
Defence29% – 71%
Head-to-head29% – 71%
Goals29% – 71%
Overall strength37% – 62%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
NaftanWDLLL1.202.5040%70%
BelshinaLWDDD1.001.3050%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1273%1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals68%1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals66%1.41
BTTS Yes56%1.65
Over 2.5 Goals50%1.89
Under 2.5 Goals50%1.89
Belshina Win38%2.46
Draw27%3.38

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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