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1. SNL · Slovenia

Nafta vs Bravo prediction and preview

11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 63%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Nafta host Bravo in the 1. SNL (Slovenia) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Nafta 1–0 Bravo.

Going into the match, Nafta had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 16. Bravo had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Nafta's last 10 and 7 of Bravo's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nafta averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Bravo averaged 1.45 scored and 1.45 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Nafta and 1.35 from Bravo. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 39%, against 39%, 26% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Nafta (green) and Bravo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 63%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence38% – 62%
Head-to-head38% – 62%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength43% – 57%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
NaftaLWWLL1.701.6060%60%
BravoDWWDW1.401.3070%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 1.5 Goals79%1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No75%1.25
Double Chance 1274%1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals72%1.30
Under 3.5 Goals63%1.50
BTTS Yes61%1.57
Over 8.5 Corners61%1.53
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals61%1.53

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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