Home › League stats › Iraqi League › Naft Maysan vs Erbil
Iraqi League · Iraq
Naft Maysan vs Erbil prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Naft Maysan host Erbil in the Iraqi League (Iraq) on 8 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Naft Maysan 1–1 Erbil.
Going into the match, Naft Maysan had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Erbil had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Naft Maysan's last 10 and 4 of Erbil's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Naft Maysan averaged 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Erbil averaged 2.00 scored and 0.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Naft Maysan and 1.55 from Erbil. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 47%, against 24%, 28% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Naft Maysan (green) and Erbil (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft Maysan | LWDLD | 0.80 | 1.30 | 30% | 20% |
| Erbil | WLWDW | 1.70 | 0.50 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.78 |
| Erbil Win | 48% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.10 |
| Erbil HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.