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3. Division · Denmark
Næsby vs Holstebro prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Næsby host Holstebro in the 3. Division (Denmark) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Næsby 4–0 Holstebro.
Going into the match, Næsby had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 16. Holstebro had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Næsby's last 10 and 7 of Holstebro's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Næsby averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Holstebro averaged 1.83 scored and 2.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.44 goals from Næsby and 1.12 from Holstebro. From that it rates a home win at 80%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 8%, against 53%, 22% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Næsby (green) and Holstebro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Næsby Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.