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3. Division · Denmark
Næsby vs Holbæk B&I prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Næsby host Holbæk B&I in the 3. Division (Denmark) on 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Næsby had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 16. Holbæk B&I had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Næsby's last 10 and 7 of Holbæk B&I's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Næsby averaged 2.21 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Holbæk B&I averaged 2.46 scored and 1.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.01 goals from Næsby and 1.61 from Holbæk B&I. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 30%, against 30%, 24% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Næsby (green) and Holbæk B&I (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Næsby | DLWWD | 2.20 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
| Holbæk B&I | WDWLW | 2.60 | 1.50 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Aug 2026 · Holbæk B&I 3–2 Næsby
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Holbæk B&I Win | 45% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 36% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 3. Division matches that day
- Holstebro vs Hørsholm-Usserød · 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Vanløse vs ASA Aarhus · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 - Ringsted vs Ishøj · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · 3. Division
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.46