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Copa de la División Profesional · Bolivia
Nacional Potosí vs Real Oruro prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 21:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nacional Potosí host Real Oruro in the Copa de la División Profesional (Bolivia) on 3 Oct 2026, 21:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Nacional Potosí Win — Nacional Potosí to win. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nacional Potosí 2–0 Real Oruro.
Going into the match, Nacional Potosí had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 12. Real Oruro had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Nacional Potosí's last 10 and 5 of Real Oruro's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nacional Potosí averaged 2.46 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Real Oruro averaged 1.42 scored and 2.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.53 goals from Nacional Potosí and 1.06 from Real Oruro. From that it rates a home win at 82%, a draw at 11% and an away win at 7%, against 74%, 16% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nacional Potosí (green) and Real Oruro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Potosí | DWLDL | 2.40 | 1.20 | 40% | 60% |
| Real Oruro | DLWLL | 1.00 | 2.20 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Sep 2026 · Real Oruro 0–2 Nacional Potosí
- 21 Jul 2026 · Nacional Potosí 1–4 Real Oruro
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nacional Potosí Win | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.32 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.47 |
| Nacional Potosí 1st Half Win | 60% | 1.57 |
| Nacional Potosí HT & FT | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.78 |
| 3-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.