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Primera División · Bolivia
Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nacional Potosí host Bolívar in the Primera División (Bolivia) on 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nacional Potosí 0–1 Bolívar.
Going into the match, Nacional Potosí had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 12. Bolívar had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Nacional Potosí's last 10 and 6 of Bolívar's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nacional Potosí averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Bolívar averaged 1.63 scored and 1.05 conceded across 19.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Nacional Potosí and 1.58 from Bolívar. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 36%, against 24%, 23% and 52% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nacional Potosí (green) and Bolívar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Potosí | DWWDW | 2.40 | 1.20 | 40% | 60% |
| Bolívar | WDWWW | 2.30 | 0.80 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 May 2026 · Bolívar 1–1 Nacional Potosí
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera División matches that day
- Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 0–0 - Universitario de Vinto vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo · 17 Oct 2026, 21:15 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1