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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV vs VVV Venlo prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · De Geusselt, Maastricht
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
MVV host VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, MVV had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 27. VVV Venlo had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of MVV's last 10 and 6 of VVV Venlo's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home MVV averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home VVV Venlo averaged 2.33 scored and 2.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from MVV and 2.50 from VVV Venlo. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 61%, against 29%, 24% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between MVV (green) and VVV Venlo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.